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BGP Incident Analyzer

Executive-ready report for Service Provider BGP event analysis

Generated: 2026-05-25 20:56:50 UTC
Dataset: RIPE RIS rrc00
Analysis type: Offline post-event
Origin-AS change cases
10
Candidate operational cases
46
Top case severity
HIGH
Top IPv4 case updates
7,731
AFI Separation Summary

IPv4 and IPv6 findings are analyzed and reported separately to avoid mixing address families and to align with standard NOC review workflows.

IPv4 Candidate Cases: 10 IPv4 Origin-AS Changes: 9 IPv6 Candidate Cases: 36 IPv6 Origin-AS Changes: 1
Executive Interpretation

The analyzed BGP dataset shows moderate operational activity. The system reduced raw BGP update noise into 46 candidate operational cases and 10 Origin-AS change cases, with results separated by address family to avoid mixing operational contexts.

The highest-priority IPv4 finding is prefix 146.66.28.0/22, marked High severity due to 7,731 total updates. AS43016 accounts for 7,729 of those updates, indicating concentrated origin-specific activity that warrants routing-team review.

The highest overall update volume is an IPv6 prefix and is detailed in the IPv6 section below. IPv4 findings are presented first in accordance with standard NOC review practice.

Recommended next step: review origin stability, peer propagation behavior, and whether observed activity corresponds to a planned operational event, migration, or traffic-engineering action before escalating to incident.

📆 Top IPv4 Candidate Operational Case
Address family
IPv4
Prefix
146.66.28.0/22
Case type
Operational Reorigin
Severity
HIGH
Total updates
7,731
Main origin AS
AS43016 (7,729 of 7,731)
Action: review update volume, origin stability, and peer propagation before escalating.
🔄 Top IPv4 Origin-AS Change Case
Address family
IPv4
Prefix
189.76.77.0/24
Severity
MEDIUM
Distinct origins
6 ASNs
Origin AS list
AS2, AS52752 + 4 more → evidence file
Total updates
102
Action: validate whether this is reorigin, migration, traffic engineering, or hijack candidate.
IPv4
Candidate Operational Cases — IPv4
Prefix Case type Severity Updates Announces Withdraws W. Ratio Main Origin AS
146.66.28.0/22Operational ReoriginHIGH7,7317,72290.0012AS43016
206.168.162.0/23High Activity PrefixHIGH3,1132,9112020.0649AS399240
206.168.163.0/24High Activity PrefixHIGH3,0952,8961990.0643AS399240
206.168.160.0/24High Activity PrefixHIGH3,0782,8762020.0656AS399240
206.168.161.0/24High Activity PrefixMED2,9702,7891810.0609AS399240
187.249.2.0/24High Activity PrefixMED2,7282,657710.0260AS32098
206.168.160.0/22High Activity PrefixMED2,6312,4701610.0612AS399240
205.164.242.0/24High Activity PrefixMED2,5472,3801670.0656AS399240
38.17.44.0/23High Activity PrefixMED2,4822,3211610.0649AS399240
194.143.156.0/23High Activity PrefixMED1,8811,810710.0377AS34701
IPv4
Origin-AS Change Cases — IPv4
Prefix Severity Distinct Origins Origin AS list Updates
189.76.77.0/24MED6AS2, AS52752 + 4 more102
38.148.247.0/24MED2AS213840, AS8796103
200.9.22.0/24LOW6AS266190, AS274651 + 4 more71
103.28.81.0/24LOW6AS45723, AS4800 + 4 more68
103.28.82.0/24LOW6AS45723, AS4800 + 4 more68
187.62.192.0/24LOW5AS262617, AS266532 + 3 more71
197.214.55.0/24LOW2AS327708, AS3753132
197.214.8.0/24LOW2AS327708, AS3753131
197.214.60.0/22LOW2AS327708, AS3753131
IPv6
Candidate Operational Cases — IPv6

Top 10 shown. Full dataset of 36 IPv6 candidate cases is available in the evidence package.

Prefix Severity Updates Announces Withdraws W. Ratio Main Origin AS
2602:feda:b8d::/48HIGH9,5256,0103,5150.369AS200334
2806:202::/32HIGH3,0893,075140.0045AS28458
2a10:9902:732::/48HIGH1,3611,0682930.2153AS211972
2804:4bec::/32MED2,2391,8913480.1554AS28669
2804:1070::/32MED2,0321,991410.0202AS28209
2a05:3e04::/32MED1,7731,6081650.0931AS29484
2a14:3f87:9800::/38MED1,7151,5751400.0816AS64289
2a02:ac80:60::/48MED1,2641,251130.0103AS25145
2a02:ac80:300::/48MED1,2591,236230.0183AS25145
2a02:ac80:4000::/48MED1,2591,236230.0183AS25145
IPv6
Origin-AS Change Cases — IPv6
Prefix Severity Distinct Origins Origin AS list Updates
2606:6e00:8000::/35MED6AS200334, AS7296 + 4 more491
Evidence Package Structure

Each analysis run produces a structured, auditable output folder. All stages are preserved independently.

01
01_raw/
Original downloaded MRT update file from RIPE RIS.
02
02_parsed/
Structured CSV with all parsed BGP update records: prefix, AS_PATH, origin AS, peer, timestamp.
03
03_origin_changes/
Detected origin-AS change events per prefix, with distinct origin list and update counts.
04
04_candidate_cases/
Grouped candidate cases with severity, classification, ASN family, and per-case JSON evidence files.
05
05_reports/
Final output: this HTML report, PDF summary, CSV master sheet, and JSON export files.

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